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 IDQ10700

 UPDATED
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Queensland


 QUEENSLAND WEATHER FORECAST
 Issued at 11:59am EST on Thursday the 11th of March 2010

 IDQ1070001

 UPDATED
 WARNING SUMMARY
 A gale and strong wind warning is current for waters between Cooktown and Point
 Danger.
 Flood warnings are current for most rivers and creeks over southern Queensland.
 Refer to latest warnings for details.

 STATE FORECAST
 for the rest of Thursday and Friday
 Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the northern and central areas of the
 state, contracting to the western half on Friday. Scattered showers over the
 east coast and ranges. Isolated afternoon showers about southeast inland parts,
 extending throughout on Friday. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds, becoming strong
 and gusty about the east coast and ranges.

 IDQ1070002
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK
 Saturday.. A large, intense high will remain slow moving near Tasmania,
 maintaining strong to gale force winds over the east coast and ranges south of
 about Lockhart River. Scattered showers continuing over the exposed east coast,
 with more isolated activity over the eastern interior, mostly on and east of the
 ranges. Some moderate falls likely over the northeast tropical coast.
 Instability eases and contracts into western and far northern parts of the state
 as the ridge continues to build in the east, with showers and isolated
 thunderstorms over parts of western districts and through Cape York Peninsula.

 Sunday.. Gale force winds still expected around the central coast regions,
 easing during the day with strong winds elsewhere south of Lockhart River.
 Showers and thunderstorms contract to the far northwest and northern Peninsula.
 Scattered showers about the coast in the north, more isolated in the south and
 about the eastern interior.

 Monday.. Strong winds continuing for most of the east coast, with scattered
 showers in the north and isolated elsewhere near the coast and about the eastern
 interior. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the far north.

 In the longer term, the high remains slow moving in the Tasman Sea with a firm
 ridge along the east coast. Fresh to strong winds along the east coast with
 showers. Isolated thunderstorms in the far north. Fine conditions inland.

 IDQ10810
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Brisbane

 Tropical Cyclone 3-day outlook for The Coral Sea
 Issued at 2:30pm EST on Wednesday the 10th of March 2010 and valid until end of
 Saturday

 Existing cyclones:

 Nil.

 Potential Cyclones:

 There are no significant tropical lows expected in the region.

 Likelihood of a new tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
 Thursday: Very low
 Friday: Very low
 Saturday: Very low

 NOTE: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
 tropical cyclone in the Region for each day:
 Very low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
 Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%

 The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and Northern Tasman Sea
 west of 160E.

 Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
 http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone

 IDQP0005
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Queensland
 Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
 warning.

 PRIORITY
 TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 50
 Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
 Issued at 11:06am EST on Saturday the 30th of January 2010

 The Cyclone WARNING for coastal, island, and adjacent inland communities between
 Burketown and Karumba has been CANCELLED.

 At 10:00 am EST Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga was over land and estimated to be 85
 kilometres south southeast of Normanton and 105 kilometres west southwest of
 Croydon, moving southeast at 23 kilometres per hour.

 Tropical Cyclone Olga has weakened below tropical cyclone intensity.
 The remains of Tropical Cyclone Olga will track south over inland Queensland
 over the next few days.
 Very heavy rainfall and isolated damaging wind gusts are expected with this
 system.
 A separate Severe Weather Warning has been issued for these conditions.

 Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga at 10:00 am EST:
 .Centre located near...... 18.4 degrees South 141.3 degrees East
 .Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
 .Recent movement.......... towards the southeast at 23 kilometres per hour
 .Wind gusts near centre... 90 kilometres per hour
 .Category........ below cyclone intensity
 .Central pressure......... 987 hectoPascals

 No further Tropical Cyclone Advices will be issued.


 This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
 website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
 Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

 IDQ20018
 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
 Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
 at: 0115 UTC 30/01/2010
 Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga
 Identifier: 07U
 Data At: 0000 UTC
 Latitude: 18.4S
 Longitude: 141.3E
 Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
 Movement Towards: southeast [130 deg]
 Speed of Movement: 12 knots [23 km/h]
 Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h]
 Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
 Central Pressure: 987 hPa
 Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
 Radius of 64-knot winds:
 Radius of Maximum Winds: N/A nm [N/A km]
 Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5/W0.5/6HRS
 Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa
 Radius of outermost closed isobar: 210 nm [390 km]
 Storm Depth: Deep
 FORECAST DATA
 Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
 [UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
 +12: 30/1200: 20.6S 143.3E: 060 [110]: 030 [055]: 989
 +24: 31/0000: 22.7S 144.7E: 090 [165]: 025 [045]: 991
 +36: 31/1200: 23.7S 145.4E: 125 [230]: 025 [045]: 993
 +48: 01/0000: 24.5S 145.5E: 155 [285]: 025 [045]: 995
 +60: 01/1200: 24.7S 146.2E: 205 [375]: 020 [035]: 995
 +72: 02/0000: 26.4S 144.8E: 250 [465]: 020 [035]: 998
 REMARKS:
 The system has weakened below tropical cyclone intensity.


 Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
 ==
 No further bulletins will be issued for this system.

 IDD10610
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Northern Territory
 Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

 Tropical Cyclone 3 day Outlook for Northern Region, including the Gulf of
 Carpentaria

 Tropical Cyclone 3 day Outlook for Northern Region, including the Gulf of
 Carpentaria

 Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
 at 2:15 pm CST Wednesday 10 March 2010

 Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria:

 Nil.

 Potential Cyclones:

 There are no significant tropical lows in the Region.

 Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Northern Region on:

 Thursday: very low,
 Friday: very low,
 Saturday: very low.

 NOTE: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
 tropical cyclone in the Region for each day...
 Very low: less than 5%, Low: 5% to 20%,
 Moderate: 20% to 50%, High: Over 50%.

 The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area between 125E and 142E,
 including the Gulf of Carpentaria.

 Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
 http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone



 DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.

 IDDP0002
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Northern Territory
 Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

 TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

 Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
 warning.

 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

 TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 42
 Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
 at 1:39 pm CST [2:09 pm EST] Friday 29 January 2010

 A Cyclone WARNING continues for coastal and island communities from Port Roper
 in the Northern Territory to Pormpuraaw in Queensland, including Mornington
 Island.

 At 12:30 pm CST [1:00 pm EST] Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga was estimated to be near
 the coast 70 kilometres east northeast of Borroloola and 265 kilometres west
 northwest of Mornington Island, moving east northeast at 11 kilometres per hour
 into the southern Gulf of Carpentaria.

 Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga is expected to redevelop into a tropical cyclone late
 today or early Saturday, as it follows an east southeastward track across the
 Gulf of Carpentaria.

 GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour are expected to develop between Port
 Roper and Gilbert River Mouth, including Mornington Island, late today or early
 Saturday. Should the track be more northeastward than expected, GALES may extend
 as far north as Pormpuraaw during Saturday.

 DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour may develop between
 Mornington Island and Gilbert River Mouth on Saturday morning.

 HEAVY RAIN may lead to significant stream rises and flooding of low-lying areas
 in the Roper-McArthur and Arnhem Districts in the Northern Territory and Gulf
 Country in Queensland.

 ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES could cause SERIOUS FLOODING at the Northern Territory
 coast and adjacent islands between Port McArthur and the Queensland Border this
 evening.

 ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES are occurring along the Queensland Gulf of Carpentaria
 coast and adjacent islands and are expected to exceed the high water mark at
 high tide over the next few days.

 People between Port Roper in the Northern Territory and Gilbert River Mouth in
 Queensland, including Mornington Island, should take precautions and listen to
 the next advice at 5 pm CST [5:30 pm EST]. If you are unsure about precautions
 to be taken, information is available from your local government or local State
 Emergency Service.

 Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga at 12:30 pm CST [1:00 pm EST]:
 .Centre located near...... 15.8 degrees South 136.9 degrees East
 .Location accuracy........ within 35 kilometres
 .Recent movement.......... towards the east northeast at 11 kilometres per hour
 .Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
 .Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
 .Central pressure......... 990 hectoPascals

 The next advice will be issued from Brisbane TCWC by 5:00 pm CST Friday 29
 January [5:30 pm EST Friday 29 January].

 This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and QLD-1300 659 212

 DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 IDD20020
 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - NORTHERN REGION
 Issued by DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
 at: 0154 UTC 29/01/2010
 Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga
 Identifier: 07U
 Data At: 0000 UTC
 Latitude: 15.9S
 Longitude: 136.5E
 Location Accuracy: within 20 nm [35 km]
 Movement Towards: east northeast [067 deg]
 Speed of Movement: 5 knots [10 km/h]
 Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h]
 Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
 Central Pressure: 990 hPa
 Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
 Radius of 64-knot winds:
 Radius of Maximum Winds:
 Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24HRS
 Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa
 Radius of outermost closed isobar: 180 nm [335 km]
 Storm Depth: Deep
 FORECAST DATA
 Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
 [UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
 +12: 29/1200: 16.0S 138.2E: 050 [095]: 035 [065]: 988
 +24: 30/0000: 17.1S 139.7E: 080 [150]: 050 [095]: 984
 +36: 30/1200: 18.8S 141.3E: 110 [210]: 030 [055]: 996
 +48: 31/0000: 20.4S 141.8E: 145 [270]: 030 [055]: 995
 +60: 31/1200: 21.2S 142.3E: 190 [355]: 025 [045]: 997
 +72: 01/0000: 21.6S 141.9E: 240 [445]: 025 [045]: 996
 REMARKS:
 Ex-TC Olga was located by surface data in between Centre Isalnd and Borroloola.
 Surface observations suggest the system is continuing movement towards the east
 northeast. Overall convective structure has improved slightly during the past 24
 hours with increased central convection, though the focus of convection is
 displaced to the west with the mid-level circulation. Poor DT 2.5 based on 0.5
 spiral wrap. MET/PT agree, leading to FT/CI of 2.5.

 The system is expected to accelerate towards the east southeast during Friday as
 a middle-level trough amplifies over central Australia. The broad-scale
 environment remains favourable for intensification when system moves over
 southern Gulf of Carpentaria waters, with divergent outflow, low shear aloft,
 and strong monsoonal westerlies to the north. With recent movement east, the
 official forecast track, based on consensus of latest 12Z model runs, now has
 the system over water for around 24 hours, which increases the chances of the
 system reaching category 2 intensity before landfall.

 Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
 ==
 The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 29/0730 UTC by Brisbane
 TCWC.