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Warnings,
Cyclone & Synoptic Situation: [See disclaimer at bottom of page.] Cyclone information is updated @ approx 3:00pm daily AEST. If there is the current threat of a Cyclone, updates will be given hourly. Copyright © 1998-2007 As issued by Bureau of Meteorology: |
Synoptic Situation:
(Updated four
times daily)
IDQ10700 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Queensland QUEENSLAND WEATHER FORECAST Issued at 4:10pm EST on Thursday the 29th of July 2010 IDQ1070001 WARNING SUMMARY Nil. STATE FORECAST for Thursday night and Friday Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over southern and SW interior, tending to rain areas with isolated storms on Friday. Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms over the Central Highlands and SE interior, possibly extending to the SE coast in the evening. Isolated showers elsewhere along the east coast and adjacent inland areas with some drizzle areas about the north tropical ranges and tablelands. Mostly moderate SE to NE winds across the tropics, tending light to moderate NE to NW elsewhere, ahead of a SW change over Channel Country late Friday. IDQ1070002 EXTENDED OUTLOOK Saturday: Remaining very warm ahead of the cooler change, which will move quickly eastwards, and reach the far southern coast late in the evening. Isolated showers will develop over eastern, central and northern districts of the state ahead of the change. The cloud and rain band will move eastwards and weaken as the associated upper trough slips south of Queensland. Isolated showers remaining about the northeast tropical coast. Mostly moderate SE to NE winds across the tropics. Sunday: A new high will move eastwards over the Bight, extending a new ridge of high pressure over Queensland and pushing the cooler, drier S/SW winds further north over the state. A weakening trough will move off the central coast during the day. Isolated showers over the tropical coast, possibly extending to inland areas in the afternoon. Mainly fine over southern Queensland, except for some early drizzle about the western slopes of the Great Dividing Range. Daytime temperatures at, or just below average about the southern, central and western parts of the state. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds about the northern tropics. Monday: A large high in Bight will extend a ridge over Queensland with cooler drier S/SW winds, tending SE over the tropics. Fine throughout except for very isolated shower activity over the far northeast tropical coast. Some early frost areas returning to the Granite Belts as minimum temperature begin to drop near average. The outlook for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday: The high over the Bight will maintain fine weather conditions across most of the state with only isolated showers expected along the far north tropical coast. Widespread early frost areas over southern and SE interior with cooler than average both minimum and daytime temperatures. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2010, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533 532) Please note the Copyright Notice (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml) and Disclaimer (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/disclaimer.shtml) statements relating to the use of the information on this site and our site Privacy (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/privacy.shtml) and Accessibility (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/accessibility.shtml) statements. Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements. Please also note the Acknowledgement (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml#acknowledgements) notice relating to the use of information on this site. No unsolicited commercial email. |
Qld. Current Cyclone Situation: (Updated Hourly)
IDQ10810 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Brisbane Tropical Cyclone 3-day outlook for The Coral Sea Issued at 2:30pm EST on Saturday the 27th of February 2010 and valid until end of Tuesday Existing cyclones: Nil. Potential Cyclones: There are no significant tropical lows in the region. Likelihood of a new tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on: Sunday: Very low Monday: Very low Tuesday: Very low NOTE: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day: Very low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%, Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50% The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and Northern Tasman Sea west of 160E. Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at: http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone IDQP0005 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Queensland Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning. PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 50 Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane Issued at 11:06am EST on Saturday the 30th of January 2010 The Cyclone WARNING for coastal, island, and adjacent inland communities between Burketown and Karumba has been CANCELLED. At 10:00 am EST Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga was over land and estimated to be 85 kilometres south southeast of Normanton and 105 kilometres west southwest of Croydon, moving southeast at 23 kilometres per hour. Tropical Cyclone Olga has weakened below tropical cyclone intensity. The remains of Tropical Cyclone Olga will track south over inland Queensland over the next few days. Very heavy rainfall and isolated damaging wind gusts are expected with this system. A separate Severe Weather Warning has been issued for these conditions. Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga at 10:00 am EST: .Centre located near...... 18.4 degrees South 141.3 degrees East .Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres .Recent movement.......... towards the southeast at 23 kilometres per hour .Wind gusts near centre... 90 kilometres per hour .Category........ below cyclone intensity .Central pressure......... 987 hectoPascals No further Tropical Cyclone Advices will be issued. This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly. TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN - EAST COAST: IDQ20018 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 0115 UTC 30/01/2010 Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga Identifier: 07U Data At: 0000 UTC Latitude: 18.4S Longitude: 141.3E Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km] Movement Towards: southeast [130 deg] Speed of Movement: 12 knots [23 km/h] Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h] Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h] Central Pressure: 987 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: N/A nm [N/A km] Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5/W0.5/6HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 210 nm [390 km] Storm Depth: Deep FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure [UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa +12: 30/1200: 20.6S 143.3E: 060 [110]: 030 [055]: 989 +24: 31/0000: 22.7S 144.7E: 090 [165]: 025 [045]: 991 +36: 31/1200: 23.7S 145.4E: 125 [230]: 025 [045]: 993 +48: 01/0000: 24.5S 145.5E: 155 [285]: 025 [045]: 995 +60: 01/1200: 24.7S 146.2E: 205 [375]: 020 [035]: 995 +72: 02/0000: 26.4S 144.8E: 250 [465]: 020 [035]: 998 REMARKS: The system has weakened below tropical cyclone intensity. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == No further bulletins will be issued for this system. N.T. Current Cyclone Situation: (Updated Hourly) IDD10610 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Northern Territory Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre Tropical Cyclone 3 day Outlook for Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria Tropical Cyclone 3 day Outlook for Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN at 2:15 pm CST Saturday 27 February 2010 Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria: Nil. Potential Cyclones: A Tropical Low, 999 hPa, is located well inland over the southern Victoria River District. The low is expected over land during the next three days, moving slowly south to southeast across the Territory into southwest Qld. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Northern Region on: Saturday: very low, Sunday: very low, Monday: very low. NOTE: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day... Very low: less than 5%, Low: 5% to 20%, Moderate: 20% to 50%, High: Over 50%. The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria. Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at: http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre. IDDP0002 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Northern Territory Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning. TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 42 Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN at 1:39 pm CST [2:09 pm EST] Friday 29 January 2010 A Cyclone WARNING continues for coastal and island communities from Port Roper in the Northern Territory to Pormpuraaw in Queensland, including Mornington Island. At 12:30 pm CST [1:00 pm EST] Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga was estimated to be near the coast 70 kilometres east northeast of Borroloola and 265 kilometres west northwest of Mornington Island, moving east northeast at 11 kilometres per hour into the southern Gulf of Carpentaria. Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga is expected to redevelop into a tropical cyclone late today or early Saturday, as it follows an east southeastward track across the Gulf of Carpentaria. GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour are expected to develop between Port Roper and Gilbert River Mouth, including Mornington Island, late today or early Saturday. Should the track be more northeastward than expected, GALES may extend as far north as Pormpuraaw during Saturday. DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour may develop between Mornington Island and Gilbert River Mouth on Saturday morning. HEAVY RAIN may lead to significant stream rises and flooding of low-lying areas in the Roper-McArthur and Arnhem Districts in the Northern Territory and Gulf Country in Queensland. ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES could cause SERIOUS FLOODING at the Northern Territory coast and adjacent islands between Port McArthur and the Queensland Border this evening. ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES are occurring along the Queensland Gulf of Carpentaria coast and adjacent islands and are expected to exceed the high water mark at high tide over the next few days. People between Port Roper in the Northern Territory and Gilbert River Mouth in Queensland, including Mornington Island, should take precautions and listen to the next advice at 5 pm CST [5:30 pm EST]. If you are unsure about precautions to be taken, information is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service. Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga at 12:30 pm CST [1:00 pm EST]: .Centre located near...... 15.8 degrees South 136.9 degrees East .Location accuracy........ within 35 kilometres .Recent movement.......... towards the east northeast at 11 kilometres per hour .Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour .Severity category........ below cyclone intensity .Central pressure......... 990 hectoPascals The next advice will be issued from Brisbane TCWC by 5:00 pm CST Friday 29 January [5:30 pm EST Friday 29 January]. This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and QLD-1300 659 212 DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN - NORTH COAST: IDD20020 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - NORTHERN REGION Issued by DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 0154 UTC 29/01/2010 Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga Identifier: 07U Data At: 0000 UTC Latitude: 15.9S Longitude: 136.5E Location Accuracy: within 20 nm [35 km] Movement Towards: east northeast [067 deg] Speed of Movement: 5 knots [10 km/h] Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h] Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h] Central Pressure: 990 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 180 nm [335 km] Storm Depth: Deep FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure [UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa +12: 29/1200: 16.0S 138.2E: 050 [095]: 035 [065]: 988 +24: 30/0000: 17.1S 139.7E: 080 [150]: 050 [095]: 984 +36: 30/1200: 18.8S 141.3E: 110 [210]: 030 [055]: 996 +48: 31/0000: 20.4S 141.8E: 145 [270]: 030 [055]: 995 +60: 31/1200: 21.2S 142.3E: 190 [355]: 025 [045]: 997 +72: 01/0000: 21.6S 141.9E: 240 [445]: 025 [045]: 996 REMARKS: Ex-TC Olga was located by surface data in between Centre Isalnd and Borroloola. Surface observations suggest the system is continuing movement towards the east northeast. Overall convective structure has improved slightly during the past 24 hours with increased central convection, though the focus of convection is displaced to the west with the mid-level circulation. Poor DT 2.5 based on 0.5 spiral wrap. MET/PT agree, leading to FT/CI of 2.5. The system is expected to accelerate towards the east southeast during Friday as a middle-level trough amplifies over central Australia. The broad-scale environment remains favourable for intensification when system moves over southern Gulf of Carpentaria waters, with divergent outflow, low shear aloft, and strong monsoonal westerlies to the north. With recent movement east, the official forecast track, based on consensus of latest 12Z model runs, now has the system over water for around 24 hours, which increases the chances of the system reaching category 2 intensity before landfall. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 29/0730 UTC by Brisbane TCWC. |
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