Veteran Weather Station                             www.gympieweather.com

IDQ21033
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Cancellation of Severe Thunderstorm Warning
For people in North Tropical Coast and Tablelands Forecast District.

Issued at 11:11 am Tuesday, 16 April 2024.

Thunderstorms have eased.

Weather Situation: Slow moving thunderstorms produced heavy rainfall this morning.

The immediate threat of severe thunderstorms has passed, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.

Upper Spence Creek recorded 138mm in the 3 hours to 5:30am.

Emergency services advise people to:
* Never drive, walk, play or ride through floodwater. It is dangerous.
* Stay away from storm water drains.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines.
* Drive slowly and never drive through floodwaters. If the road is flooded or damaged, go another way.
* For storm help, call the SES on 132 500 or download the free SES Assistance QLD app.


Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and emergency services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQ21035
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Cancellation of Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Southeast Queensland
For people in Redland City Council Area.

Issued at 7:47 pm Sunday, 7 April 2024.

Severe thunderstorms are no longer affecting the Southeast Queensland area (east of Dalby from Rainbow Beach to Stanthorpe). The immediate threat of severe thunderstorms has passed, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.

Emergency services advise people to:
* Never drive, walk, play or ride through floodwater. It is dangerous.
* Stay away from storm water drains.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines.
* Drive slowly and never drive through floodwaters. If the road is flooded or damaged, go another way.
* For storm help, call the SES on 132 500 or download the free SES Assistance QLD app.


Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and emergency services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQ20023
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 37
Issued at 4:42 am EST on Friday 26 January 2024

Headline:
Ex-tropical Cyclone Kirrily has weakened to a tropical low.

Areas Affected:
Warning zone: None.

Watch zone: None.

Cancelled zone: Cardwell to Ayr, including Townsville and extending inland to
Charters Towers.

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Kirrily at 4:00 am AEST:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 35 kilometres of 19.6 degrees South 145.2 degrees East,
estimated to be 170 kilometres west southwest of Townsville and 125 kilometres
west northwest of Charters Towers.
Movement: west southwest at 24 kilometres per hour.

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Kirrily has weakened to a tropical low as it continues to
track inland northwest of Charters Towers.

Ex-tropical cyclone Kirrily will track further inland today and over the
weekend, resulting in heavy to intense rain and possible damaging winds to
parts of the northern interior and western Queensland.

Hazards:
HEAVY to locally INTENSE RAINFALL and locally DAMAGING WINDS are expected
across the northern interior and western Queensland into the weekend as
ex-Tropical Cyclone Kirrily tracks further inland. A Severe Weather Warning is
current for these conditions; refer to that product for more information.

Recommended Action:
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)

- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on
132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage).

Next Advice:
No further advices will be issued for this system.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210.  The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0134 UTC 12/04/2024
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Paul
Identifier: 13U
Data At: 0000 UTC
Latitude: 14.9S
Longitude: 156.1E
Location Accuracy: within 45nm (85 km)
Movement Towards: northwest (316 deg)
Speed of Movement: 1 knots (3 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots (65 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots (95 km/h)
Central Pressure: 1001 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 30 nm (55 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:  nm ( km)
Radius of Maximum Winds:   nm (  km)
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.5/W1.5/24HRS STT:W0.5/06HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1010 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 80 nm (150 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
(UTC)        : degrees     :      nm  (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06:  12/0600: 14.8S 155.8E:     060 (110):  030  (055): 1004
+12:  12/1200: 14.5S 155.3E:     065 (125):  030  (055): 1005
+18:  12/1800: 14.1S 154.6E:     070 (135):  030  (055): 1005
+24:  13/0000: 13.8S 154.0E:     080 (145):  025  (045): 1008
+36:  13/1200: 13.1S 152.1E:     095 (175):  025  (045): 1008
+48:  14/0000:             :              :            :
+60:  14/1200:             :              :            :
+72:  15/0000:             :              :            :
+96:  16/0000:             :              :            :
+120: 17/0000:             :              :            :
REMARKS:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Paul has weakened to be a tropical low.

Ex-TC Paul was located using animated VIS imagery but with low confidence.
Gales have been confined to within 30nm of the centre in only the southwest
quadrant based on SMOS and SMAP information received around 19UTC. An ASCAT
pass at 2240 UTC arrived after analysis was completed and confirms strongest
winds are confined to the southwest quadrant and may already be below gale
force intensity.

The intensity of 35 knots is based on previous SMOS and SMAP information, and
sits within the range of objective aids. Dvorak curved band analysis has become
very challenging due to the rapid break down of the system, and a significant
reduction of curvature, but on average over the last 3 hours a wrap of 0.3
gives a DT of 2.0. MET is 2.0 with a rapid weakening trend as deep convection
becomes mostly confined to the southeast of the centre. No adjustment to MET.
FT=2.0 with CI held higher at 2.5. Objective aids (1-minute):  ADT 37kn; AiDT
34kn; DPRINT 30kn; SATCON 46kn. ADT RawT is 2.3

Ex-TC Paul remains in a region of high SSTs (29.5-30C) however environmental
conditions are otherwise unfavourable for development. Wind shear at 0000 UTC
was analysed as 21 kt from the NW (from CIMSS) and dry air is encroaching.
Further weakening is expected on Friday before the system dissipates by Sunday.


Ex-TC Paul has been slow moving with the influence of a mid-level ridge to the
northeast and mid-level trough. The low level ridge to the west southwest is
expected to become more dominant throughout Friday and a northwest track is
expected.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

 IDDP0002
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Northern Territory
 Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

IDD20020
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - NORTHERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1845 UTC 18/03/2024
Name: Tropical Cyclone Megan
Identifier: 09U
Data At: 1800 UTC
Latitude: 16.5S
Longitude: 136.6E
Location Accuracy: within 25nm (45 km)
Movement Towards: south southwest (213 deg)
Speed of Movement: 4 knots (7 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 40 knots (75 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 55 knots (100 km/h)
Central Pressure: 989 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 50 nm (95 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 25 nm (45 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 25 nm (45 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 40 nm (75 km)
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:  nm ( km)
Radius of Maximum Winds: 25 nm (45 km)
Dvorak Intensity Code:
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1002 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 180 nm (335 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
(UTC)        : degrees     :      nm  (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06:  19/0000: 16.9S 136.3E:     040 (070):  030  (055):  992
+12:  19/0600: 17.2S 136.0E:     050 (090):  030  (055):  993
+18:  19/1200: 17.4S 135.5E:     055 (100):  030  (055):  994
+24:  19/1800: 17.4S 134.9E:     060 (110):  030  (055):  995
+36:  20/0600: 17.3S 133.6E:     075 (140):  025  (045):  997
+48:  20/1800: 17.2S 132.0E:     090 (170):  025  (045):  998
+60:  21/0600: 17.0S 130.4E:     120 (225):  020  (035): 1000
+72:  21/1800: 16.7S 129.2E:     145 (270):  020  (035):  999
+96:  22/1800: 16.6S 127.1E:     185 (340):  020  (035):  999
+120: 23/1800: 16.6S 125.8E:     200 (370):  020  (035):  998
REMARKS:
Severe Tropical Cyclone Megan at category 3 (75 kn) intensity made landfall at
0600 UTC on the southwestern Gulf of Carpentaria coast.

Megan continues to weaken as it tracks inland of the Gulf of Carpentaria coast,
though the low level centre position is becoming more uncertain as the cloud
signature loses coherence. Position is based on proximal surface observations,
peripheral radar data, and extrapolation.

Dvorak analysis is now not applicable with the centre over land, with most
objective guidance similar. Intensity is now estimated to be at around 40 knots
based on an inland decay model. All surrounding observation sites are no longer
showing gale force winds as the system tracks further inland.

The system is expected to be downgraded to a tropical low during this morning
before it tracks west through the Northern Territory over the next few days
under the influence of a mid-level ridge to the south. Heavy rainfall will
accompany the low as it tracks over northern Australia in the following days.

The low may approach the Kimberley coast late in the week, but
reintensification over water is not expected in the next 7 days.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).