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Severe Thunderstorm Alerts: (Check date and time)
IDQ20041
Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland Regional Office


TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

CANCELLATION SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

Issued at 12:21 am Friday, 19 May 2017.

Severe thunderstorms are no longer occurring in QUEENSLAND.

The immediate threat of severe thunderstorms has passed, but the situation will
continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.

Queensland Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* Never drive, walk or ride through flood waters. If it's flooded, forget it.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.


Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 219. The Bureau and Queensland Fire
and Emergency Services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
Severe Thunderstorm Area Information: (Check date and time)
IDQ20038
Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland Regional Office


TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

CANCELLATION SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - SOUTHEAST QUEENSLAND

Issued at 5:28 pm Sunday, 6 August 2017.

Severe thunderstorms are no longer affecting the Southeast Queensland area [east
of Dalby from Rainbow Beach to Stanthorpe]. The immediate threat of severe
thunderstorms has passed, but the situation will continue to be monitored and
further warnings will be issued if necessary.

Queensland Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* Never drive, walk or ride through flood waters. If it's flooded, forget it.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.


Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 219. The Bureau and Queensland Fire
and Emergency Services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
Synoptic Situation: (Updated four times daily)
IDQ10700
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Queensland State Forecast
Issued at 4:30 pm EST on Saturday 23 March 2019
for the period until midnight EST Saturday 30 March 2019.

Warning Information
For latest warnings go to www.bom.gov.au, subscribe to RSS feeds, call
1300-659-219* or listen for warnings on relevant TV and radio broadcasts.

Weather Situation
Severe tropical cyclone Trevor is currently located over land near the southern
Gulf of Carpentaria coast in the Northern Territory. A weak ridge will persist
along the east coast of Queensland over the weekend and will combine with the
cyclone to drag a moist air mass over much of northern and western Queensland
early next week. A weak upper trough will maintain instability about the
southeast of the state today but this will move offshore on Sunday. A new upper
trough moving across the south of the continent is likely to bring the remnants
of Tropical Cyclone Trevor, and areas of moderate to heavy rainfall, across
southwestern Queensland and the southern interior next week.

Forecast for the rest of Saturday 23 March
A high to very high chance of showers, rain areas and isolated thunderstorms
about the far northwest of the state with heavy falls likely. A high to very
high chance of showers and gusty thunderstorms across the remainder of the
north of the state, north of about Mount Isa to Townsville. A medium chance of
showers and thunderstorms elsewhere north of about Urandangi to Mackay. A
slight to medium chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms about the
southern and southeast interior with a slight chance of showers about the
southeast coast. Fine and mostly clear elsewhere. Mostly moderate east to
northeast winds, tending north to northwesterly in the south, with fresh and
gusty winds about the northwest of the state and gales about the southern Gulf
of Carpentaria coast (refer to cyclone warning for severe tropical cyclone
Trevor).

Forecast for Sunday 24 March
A high to very high chance of showers and thunderstorms across much of the
north and northwest of the state, with the slight to moderate chance of a
shower or storm over remaining parts north of about Mackay to Boulia. A slight
to medium chance of showers and thunderstorms will also extend into remaining
parts of western Queensland. A medium chance of showers about the central
coast. The remainder of the state should remain mostly fine with only a slight
chance of shower or thunderstorm about the border ranges in the southeast.
Maximum temperatures will rise further over the southern interior and southeast
of the state to be several degrees above the March average. Mostly moderate
east to northeast winds, tending north to northwesterly in the south, with
fresh and gusty winds about the northwest of the state.

Forecast for Monday 25 March
An upper trough will strengthen and move eastwards across the south of the
continent and is likely to combine with the remnants of tropical cyclone Trevor
to extend rain areas and isolated thunderstorms across southwestern Queensland
and into the Warrego district. Moderate to heavy falls are possible depending
on the movement of the remnants of tropical cyclone Trevor. A high to very high
chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms will also persist about the north
and northwest of the state in the moist and unstable airmass. A medium chance
of showers will persist about the Central Coast in the onshore winds. The
southeast corner of the state should remain fine and mostly sunny. Maximum
temperatures will remain several degrees above the March average in the
southeast of the state but will cool in the west and southwest as cloud cover
and precipitation increases.

Forecast for Tuesday 26 March
The remnants of tropical cyclone Trevor are likely to move slowly eastwards
across the southwest of the state but there remains some uncertainty regarding
the movement of the system. Areas of rain and isolated thunderstorms are likely
to continue across the southwest of the state and also parts of the southern
interior with further moderate to heavy falls possible in the Channel Country
and Maranoa and Warrego district. A high to very high chance of showers and
storms will continue across the north and northwest of the state in the moist
and unstable airmass. A slight to medium chance of showers and possible storms
may extend into the southeast of the state later in the day. Cool conditions
will extend through the west and southern interior with maximum temperatures
falling well below the March average.

Forecast for Wednesday 27 March
The upper trough over the south of the continent is expected to move into the
interior of the state with areas of rain, showers and thunderstorms extending
eastwards through parts of the central and southern interior. Further moderate
to heavy falls are possible. A high to very high chance of showers and the
chance of a storm in the far southeast of the state. Showers and thunderstorms
will continue over northern Queensland in a moist and unstable air mass, with
the slight to moderate chance of a shower through the remainder of the state.
Cool conditions will continue through the west and southern interior and spread
to central parts, with maximum temperatures falling well below the March
average.

Outlook for Thursday 28 March to Saturday 30 March
The upper trough over the south of the continent will gradually move eastwards
through the outlook period with areas of rain, showers and thunderstorms
extending eastwards across much of central and eastern Queensland. Further
moderate to heavy falls are possible about parts of the interior on Thursday,
but become much less likely from Friday onwards. Showers and thunderstorms will
continue over northern Queensland in the moist and unstable air mass. Fine and
mostly sunny conditions will extend into western Queensland on Thursday,
extending into the central interior on Friday. Cool conditions will persist
over much of the interior of the state through the outlook period.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 am EST Sunday.

* Calls to 1300 numbers cost around 27.5c incl. GST, higher from mobiles or
public phones.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
Qld. Current Cyclone Situation: (Updated Hourly)
IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Saturday 23 March 2019
for the period until midnight EST Tuesday 26 March 2019.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

##

Potential Cyclones:

At 1pm AEST Saturday, severe tropical cyclone Trevor, was located over the
Carpentaria, approximately 100 kilometres west of the Queensland/Northern
Territory border. Refer to the latest Tropical Cyclone Advice and Forecast
Track Map for further details on this system [www.bom.gov.au/cyclone].

There are no significant tropical lows in the eastern region and none are
expected to develop during the next three days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Sunday          Very Low
Monday          Very Low
Tuesday         Very Low



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre


TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN - EAST COAST:
IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0654 UTC 20/03/2019
Name: Tropical Cyclone Trevor
Identifier: 20U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 13.0S
Longitude: 141.9E
Location Accuracy: within 15 nm [30 km]
Movement Towards: west northwest [297 deg]
Speed of Movement: 2 knots [4 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots [95 km/h]
Central Pressure: 998 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 25 nm [45 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 25 nm [45 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 30 nm [55 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 30 nm [55 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: 10 nm [20 km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: n/a
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 130 nm [240 km]
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
[UTC]        : degrees     :      nm  [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+06:  20/1200: 13.0S 141.7E:     030 [060]:  045  [085]:  990
+12:  20/1800: 12.9S 141.4E:     045 [080]:  050  [095]:  985
+18:  21/0000: 12.9S 141.1E:     055 [105]:  060  [110]:  980
+24:  21/0600: 12.9S 140.8E:     070 [130]:  070  [130]:  974
+36:  21/1800: 13.3S 140.0E:     090 [165]:  085  [155]:  963
+48:  22/0600: 13.8S 138.9E:     110 [200]:  095  [170]:  954
+60:  22/1800: 14.4S 137.5E:     130 [235]:  095  [175]:  948
+72:  23/0600: 15.3S 135.9E:     145 [270]:  095  [175]:  964
+96:  24/0600: 18.0S 133.5E:     190 [355]:  030  [055]: 1002
+120: 25/0600: 20.7S 133.9E:     280 [515]:  030  [050]: 1002
REMARKS:
Tropical cyclone Trevor remains a marginal category 1 cyclone, located just over
land near Arukun on the western side of Cape York Peninsula. The centre was
located with high confidence using Weipa radar and hi-resolution visible
satellite imagery. Satellite and radar imagery shows that deeper convection is
starting to re-develop on the northern side of the circulation centre.

The atmospheric environment remains extremely favourable for re-intensification
as tropical cyclone Trevor moves offshore this evening, with low vertical wind
shear and SSTs around 30-31C. Rapid re-intensification is therefore considered
likely. NWP models are in agreement of a much larger and intense system
developing once it pushes further west over central Gulf of Carpentaria waters.

A short wave upper trough is pushing across southern Queensland, hence the slow
movement of the cyclone in the short term, but as a stronger sub-tropical ridge
develops over the interior of the Australian continent tomorrow, the cyclone
should start to develop a more steady west-southwestwards track.

A land impact as a severe tropical cyclone appears highly likely later in the
week or weekend on the Northern Territory side of the Gulf of Carpentaria.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 20/1330 UTC by Darwin TCWC.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

N.T. Current Cyclone Situation: (Updated Hourly)
IDD10610
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Saturday 23 March 2019
for the period until midnight CST Tuesday 26 March 2019.

Existing Cyclones in the  Northern Region:


Severe Tropical Cyclone Trevor made landfall at about 11:00 ACST this morning
on the southwestern Gulf of Carpentaria coast, about 90 kilometres east of
Borroloola. Tropical Cyclone Trevor is now expected to move inland through the
Carpentaria and into the Barkly district while weakening, though is forecast to
maintain tropical cyclone intensity until tomorrow morning.
Refer to the latest Tropical Cyclone Advices and Forecast Track Map for further
details on this system [www.bom.gov.au/cyclone]. For impacts after Tropical
Cyclone Trevor weakens into a tropical low, see the corresponding severe
weather warning [www.bom.gov.au/nt/warnings].

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region
on:
Sunday          High.
Monday          Very Low.
Tuesday         Very Low.

Potential Cyclones:

There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
develop during the next three days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Sunday          Very low.
Monday          Very low.
Tuesday         Very low.



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

 IDDP0002
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Northern Territory
 Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre


TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN - NORTH COAST:
IDD20020
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - NORTHERN REGION
Issued by DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0158 UTC 23/03/2019
Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone Trevor
Identifier: 20U
Data At: 0000 UTC
Latitude: 15.9S
Longitude: 137.6E
Location Accuracy: within 10 nm [20 km]
Movement Towards: southwest [235 deg]
Speed of Movement: 7 knots [13 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 90 knots [165 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 125 knots [230 km/h]
Central Pressure: 955 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 130 nm [240 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 120 nm [220 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 100 nm [185 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 100 nm [185 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 50 nm [95 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: 50 nm [95 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: 50 nm [95 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 50 nm [95 km]
Radius of 64-knot winds: 20 nm [35 km]
Radius of Maximum Winds: 15 nm [30 km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T5.0/5.5/D1.0/24HRS STT:W0.5/6HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 160 nm [295 km]
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
[UTC]        : degrees     :      nm  [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+06:  23/0600: 16.4S 136.7E:     015 [030]:  070  [130]:  973
+12:  23/1200: 17.0S 136.0E:     030 [055]:  050  [095]:  988
+18:  23/1800: 17.6S 135.5E:     040 [075]:  040  [075]:  994
+24:  24/0000: 18.4S 135.1E:     055 [100]:  030  [060]:  998
+36:  24/1200: 19.9S 134.9E:     075 [135]:  030  [055]:  999
+48:  25/0000: 21.0S 135.6E:     095 [170]:  030  [050]: 1000
+60:  25/1200: 21.4S 136.8E:     110 [210]:  025  [045]: 1001
+72:  26/0000: 21.4S 137.7E:     130 [245]:  025  [045]: 1001
+96:  27/0000: 20.6S 139.5E:     175 [325]:  025  [045]: 1001
+120: 28/0000: 21.2S 139.9E:     265 [490]:  025  [045]: 1000
REMARKS:
Severe Tropical Cyclone Trevor was located from Mornington Island radar close to
the southern coast of the Gulf of Carpentaria at 00UTC. The cyclone has
maintained an overall southwest track with small . Concentric eyewalls are
evident in the radar signature with radii around 8nm and 22nm, providing good
fix accuracy.

Recent observations at Centre Island, around 70km west of the cylone centre and
just outside of the outer eyewall have sustained storm force winds with gusts
reaching 75kn/139kph at 0017UTC.

AMSR2 scatterometer pass at 221635UTC indicated the gale area reaching the
southern tip of Groote Eylandt and covering much of southern Gulf waters and
hurricane force winds near the centre. Satellite imagery shows an irregular eye
persisting for the past 6 hours surrounded by cold cloud. Dvorak DT using an eye
pattern with light grey eye temperature surrounded by white yielding a DT of
5.0, after subtracting 0.5 for an irregular eye. MET/PAT=5.0. FT based on DT,
with CI held at 5.5 [90kn mean wind].

The environment remains favourable for the circulation to remain intact while
traversing the low topography of the Carpentaria District during the next 24-36
hours with low vertical wind shear of about 10 to 15 knots. NWP models are in
good agreement with a steady southwest track over land under the influence of a
sub-tropical ridge over the Coral Sea. In the longer term, the remnants of the
system takes a more southeast track on Monday.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 23/0800 UTC by Darwin TCWC.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
MSL Analysis provided by the Bureau of Meteorology
 
 
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