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As issued by Bureau of Meteorology:                                                                                                                          
Synoptic Situation: (Updated four times daily)
 IDQ10700
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Queensland

 Queensland State Forecast
 Issued at 4:10 pm EST on Sunday 5 February 2012

 Warning Summary at issue time
 Flood Warnings are current for various rivers and streams.
 For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site
 www.bom.gov.au/qld

 Weather Situation

 At 3 pm EST, Tropical Cyclone Jasmine, Category 2, was located over the northern
 Coral Sea approximately 860 km east of Cairns, and is expected to continue
 moving away from the Queensland coast. A broad area of low pressure lies over
 the state, with relatively dry and stable air above it. A surface trough is
 entering the state from the southwest.

 Forecast for the rest of Sunday

 Remaining fine over a lot of the state. Isolated showers and the chance of some
 isolated storms about the Central Coast and Herbert and Lower Burdekin
 districts. Scattered showers and gusty storms over the Peninsula district. Light
 to moderate SE to SW winds over the southern and central districts, fresh at
 times about the South Australian border. Light to moderate W to NW winds
 elsewhere.

 Forecast for Monday

 A new high will move into the Great Australian Bight, maintaining fine
 conditions over the southern, central and western districts. Showers and storms
 through the far northern tropics and southern Gulf country. Mostly fine with
 just isolated showers about the northeast and central coasts and nearby inland
 areas.

 Forecast for Tuesday

 A new upper level trough will move east into Queensland, while humidity levels
 will very gradually build over the eastern districts, resulting in mainly
 scattered showers and storms over most areas east of a line from around Richmond
 to St. George, more isolated over the southern tropics and the flood affected
 regions. The showers and storms are unlikely to reach the coast in the south
 due to weak winds in the upper atmosphere. Relatively high humidity levels
 should result in more widespread showers and storms over the northern tropics.

 Forecast for Wednesday

 The upper level trough and associated surface trough should shift further north
 and east, again producing a region of scattered showers and thunderstorms over
 the eastern districts east of a line from around Charters Towers to Goondiwindi.
 Scattered showers and storms are also likely over the northern tropics. Fine
 over the rest of the state.

 Forecast for Thursday

 The upper level trough should weaken along the southern border, leaving most of
 the state fine except for some isolated showers over the eastern districts and
 southern border ranges. Scattered showers and storms over the far northern
 tropics.

 Outlook for Friday, Saturday and Sunday

 Showers and storms should remain over the eastern districts late in the working
 week, before easing and contracting towards the coast as the upper trough moves
 offshore. Showers and storms are expected to continue over the northern
 tropics, and the interior should remain fine.

 The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Monday.
 Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
 conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
Qld. Current Cyclone Situation: (Updated Hourly)
 IDQ10810
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Brisbane

 Tropical Cyclone 3-day outlook for The Coral Sea
 Issued at 2:45pm EST on Sunday the 5th of February 2012 and valid until end of
 Wednesday

 Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:
 Tropical Cyclone Jasmine [Category 2] was located at 2 pm EST approximately 840
 kilometres east of Cairns and moving east at about 10 kilometres per hour. Refer
 to the latest Tropical Cyclone Information Bulletin for details.

 Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Eastern region on:

 Sunday: High
 Monday: High
 Tuesday: Low

 Potential Cyclones:
 There are no other significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected
 to develop in the next three days.

 Likelihood of another tropical cyclone being in the Eastern region on:

 Monday: Very low
 Tuesday: Very low
 Wednesday:Very Low

 NOTE: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
 tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
 Very low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
 Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%

 The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
 west of 160E.

 Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
 http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone
 Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
 conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

 IDQP0005
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Queensland
 Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
 warning.

 TOP PRIORITY
 TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 39
 Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
 Issued at 10:32pm EST on Thursday the 3rd of February 2011

 The Cyclone WARNING for the tropical interior from west of Richmond to the
 Northern Territory border, including Mt Isa and Winton has been cancelled.

 At 10:00 pm EST a Tropical Low was estimated to be 325 kilometres west of
 Richmond and 55 kilometres east of Mt Isa and
 moving west southwest at 32 kilometres per hour.

 TC Yasi has weakened into a tropical depression.

 DAMAGING WINDS, with gusts above 90 km/h, are still possible through parts of
 the western tropical interior and southwest of the state.

 Isolated SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS moving with the cyclone may produce localised
 flash flooding.

 See Severe Weather Warning.

 Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 10:00 pm EST:
 .Centre located near...... 20.8 degrees South 140.0 degrees East
 .Location accuracy........ within 75 kilometres
 .Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 32 kilometres per hour
 .Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
 .Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
 .Central pressure......... 991 hectoPascals

 Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
 particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

 No further advices will be issued for this system.

 This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
 website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
 Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
 Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2010, Bureau of Meteorology
 (ABN 92 637 533 532) Please note the Copyright Notice
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml) and Disclaimer
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/disclaimer.shtml) statements relating to the use
 of the information on this site and our site Privacy
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/privacy.shtml) and Accessibility
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/accessibility.shtml) statements. Users of these
 web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the conditions described in the
 Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements. Please also note the
 Acknowledgement (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml#acknowledgements)
 notice relating to the use of information on this site. No unsolicited
 commercial email.

TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN - EAST COAST:
 IDQ20018
 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
 Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
 at: 0109 UTC 29/12/2011
 Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Grant
 Identifier: 04U
 Data At: 0000 UTC
 Latitude: 14.4S
 Longitude: 139.2E
 Location Accuracy: within 20 nm [35 km]
 Movement Towards: east [090 deg]
 Speed of Movement: 12 knots [22 km/h]
 Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 20 knots [35 km/h]
 Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
 Central Pressure: 1001 hPa
 Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
 Radius of 64-knot winds:
 Radius of Maximum Winds:
 Dvorak Intensity Code: T1.0/1.0/W1.0/24HRS
 Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa
 Radius of outermost closed isobar: 135 nm [250 km]
 Storm Depth: Shallow
 FORECAST DATA
 Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
 [UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
 +12: 29/1200: 14.3S 140.7E: 050 [095]: 025 [045]: 1001
 +24: 30/0000: 14.4S 142.4E: 080 [150]: 020 [035]: 1004
 +36: 30/1200: 14.3S 144.0E: 110 [210]: 025 [045]: 1001
 +48: 31/0000: 14.6S 146.6E: 145 [270]: 025 [045]: 1002
 +60: 31/1200: 14.6S 148.7E: 190 [355]: 030 [055]: 999
 +72: 01/0000: 15.0S 150.4E: 240 [445]: 030 [055]: 1000
 REMARKS:
 Dvorak analysis was not possible, though a FT of 1.0 was applied based on nearby
 surface observations.

 Ex-Tropical Cyclone Grant is situated in a moderately sheared environment with
 CIMMS indicating approximately 15-25 knots of shear across the system. The low
 level centre is now visible on satellite imagery and most of the convection now
 appears to be well removed from the centre.

 Ex-Tropical Cyclone Grant will continue to move east towards the west coast of
 Cape York Peninsula under the influence of an upper trough moving across eastern
 Australia. Redevelopment into a tropical cyclone is now deemed a low chance due
 to a combination of shear created by the upper trough and dry air affecting the
 system from the south.

 Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
 ==
 There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies.
 Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
 conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

N.T. Current Cyclone Situation: (Updated Hourly)
 IDD10610
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Northern Territory
 Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

 Tropical Cyclone 3 day Outlook for Northern Region, including the Gulf of
 Carpentaria

 Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
 at 2:15 pm CST Sunday 5 February 2012

 Valid until the end of Wednesday.

 Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region and Gulf of Carpentaria:
 Nil.

 Potential Cyclones:
 There are no significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to
 develop during the next three days.

 Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Northern region on:
 Monday: Very Low.
 Tuesday: Very Low.
 Wednesday: Very Low.

 NOTE: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
 tropical cyclone in the Region for each day...
 Very low: less than 5%, Low: 5% to 20%, Moderate: 20% to 50%, High: Over 50%.

 The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
 Timor [northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E].

 Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
 http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone



 DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.
 Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
 conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

 IDDP0002
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Northern Territory
 Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

 TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

 Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
 warning.

 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

 TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 4
 Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
 at 8:00 pm CST [6:30 pm WST] Friday 15 April 2011

 A Cyclone WARNING continues for coastal and island communities from Kuri Bay to
 Kalumburu, in Western Australia.

 At 6:30 pm CST [5:00 pm WST] Tropical Cyclone Errol, Category 1 was estimated to
 be 165 kilometres north northwest of Troughton Island and 240 kilometres north
 northwest of Kalumburu, moving west northwest at 6 kilometres per hour parallel
 to the coast. The cyclone may intensify further as it moves away from the
 Kimberley coast early on Saturday.

 GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour may develop on the coast between
 Kalumburu and Kuri Bay tonight if the cyclone takes a more southwest track.

 HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause flooding in the far north Kimberley. Please
 refer to the latest Flood Watch for the north Kimberley, IDW39610.

 FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:
 BLUE ALERT: People in or near the communities between Kalumburu and Kuri Bay,
 including coastal and island communities, should start taking precautions.

 Details of Tropical Cyclone Errol at 6:30 pm CST [5:00 pm WST]:
 .Centre located near...... 12.4 degrees South 125.6 degrees East
 .Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
 .Recent movement.......... towards the west northwest at 6 kilometres per hour
 .Wind gusts near centre... 100 kilometres per hour and INTENSIFYING
 .Severity category........ 1
 .Central pressure......... 996 hectoPascals

 Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
 particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

 The next advice will be issued from Perth TCWC by 11:00 pm CST Friday 15 April
 [9:30 pm WST Friday 15 April].

 This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210

 DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
 Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2010, Bureau of Meteorology
 (ABN 92 637 533 532) Please note the Copyright Notice
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml) and Disclaimer
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/disclaimer.shtml) statements relating to the use
 of the information on this site and our site Privacy
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/privacy.shtml) and Accessibility
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/accessibility.shtml) statements. Users of these
 web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the conditions described in the
 Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements. Please also note the
 Acknowledgement (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml#acknowledgements)
 notice relating to the use of information on this site. No unsolicited
 commercial email.

TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN - NORTH COAST:
 IDD20020
 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - NORTHERN REGION
 Issued by DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
 at: 1938 UTC 28/12/2011
 Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Grant
 Identifier: 04U
 Data At: 1800 UTC
 Latitude: 14.4S
 Longitude: 138.0E
 Location Accuracy: within 50 nm [95 km]
 Movement Towards: east [098 deg]
 Speed of Movement: 10 knots [19 km/h]
 Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 25 knots [45 km/h]
 Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
 Central Pressure: 998 hPa
 Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
 Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
 Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
 Radius of 64-knot winds:
 Radius of Maximum Winds:
 Dvorak Intensity Code: T1.0/1.0/S0.0/24HRS
 Pressure of outermost isobar: 1001 hPa
 Radius of outermost closed isobar: 150 nm [280 km]
 Storm Depth: Medium
 FORECAST DATA
 Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
 [UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
 +12: 29/0600: 14.3S 139.3E: 080 [150]: 025 [045]: 998
 +24: 29/1800: 14.1S 140.6E: 110 [205]: 030 [055]: 996
 +36: 30/0600: 14.1S 141.8E: 140 [265]: 040 [075]: 990
 +48: 30/1800: 14.1S 143.4E: 175 [325]: 030 [055]: 996
 +60: 31/0600: 14.1S 145.5E: 220 [410]: 025 [045]: 999
 +72: 31/1800: 14.2S 147.6E: 270 [500]: 025 [045]: 999
 REMARKS:
 Position poor primarily based on surface observations.
 System lies in a moderately sheared environment of 15-30 kt. LLCC exposed with
 deep convection displaced to the southeast. Due to the presence of a mid level
 trough, shear is expected to remain at least at moderate levels throughout the
 systems presence in the Gulf of Carpentaria. As such, the development rate of
 this system is expected to be slow with only a slight chance of redevelopment
 into a cyclone prior to crossing the coast of Cape York Peninsula.

 The system is expected to move steadily to the east under the influence of the
 mid level trough and strong W steering in an increasing monsoon flow to the
 north.



 Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
 ==
 The next bulletin for this system will be issued by Brisbane TCWC.
 Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
 conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
 (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
MSL Analysis provided by the Bureau of Meteorology
 
 
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